Aston Villa’s dismal start to the 2025/26 season continued with a disappointing 1-1 draw against newly-promoted Sunderland at the Stadium of Light.
Unai Emery’s side were once again lacklustre in the final third of the pitch and only managed two shots on target throughout the entire 90 minutes despite having a man advantage for two thirds of the contest Reinildo Mandava’s red card in the 33rd minute. Villa scored their first league goal of the season through Matty Cash in the 67th minute but surrendered their advantage just seven minutes later when Wilson Isidor volleyed in a goal from close distance.
Aston Villa remain in the bottom three with a record of three draws and two defeats from their opening five matches. They sit narrowly ahead of West Ham and basement side Wolves, who are now the only team in the league without a single point. It’s a far cry from where Villa, who competed in a Champions League quarter-final just six months ago, would expect to be at this stage of the season. But can they turn it around under Emery or are they likely to continue struggling? Here we take a look at Opta’s supercomputer to see how the latest round of fixtures influenced its final forecast.

9. Brighton & Hove Albion - 52 points
Brighton are expected to finish inside the top half of the table once again. They have picked up five points from five matches so far this season and earned a 2-2 draw with Tottenham last time out. | Getty Images

10. Aston Villa - 52 points
Opta believes Aston Villa will bounce back from their lacklustre start but has reservations over their ability to qualify for European football after a five-game winless streak at the start of this season. | AFP via Getty Images

11. Everton - 50 points
Everton are expected to secure a solid mid-table finish after adding Jack Grealish and Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall to their squad. They suffered a 2-1 defeat to Liverpool last time out but have shown signs of improvement under David Moyes. | Getty Images

12. Man Utd - 50 points
Man Utd are expected to endure another tough season. The data experts have placed them in 11th place despite their impressive 2-1 win against Chelsea last time out. | Manchester United via Getty Imag


