Birmingham weather: Will there be a heatwave in October?

After one of the warmest Septembers in the UK on record, the mild days and nights are likely to continue for the next week in Birmingham, according to The Meteorological Office (Met office).

The weather forecast by the Met Office shows that temperatures will rise in Birmingham as we head towards the weekend (October 7-8). As per their predictions, temperatures are likely to be above average for many regions including the West Midlands, but especially so in the south where some unusually warm temperatures for October is possible.

In Birmingham, there will be some clear skies this morning (Monday, October 2) but it will become widely cloudy with further outbreaks of rain or showers - which could turn heavy and possibly thundery at times - as the day continues. Temperatures will still be rather mild though it might cool due to rain. Maximum temperature today will be 18 °C in Birmingham.

Will there be a heatwave in Birmingham?

BBC reported the temperature in south-east England will peak at 24C in early October, which is around six degrees higher than average for this time of year. They reported that the warm weather is going to be more pronounced in the south-east of England but other areas will also higher than average temperatures.

However, in Birmingham, the temperature will go up to only 20C, according to the Met Office. On Saturday (October 7), maximum temperature will be 20C and minimum will be 13C. Sunday (October 8) will see highs of 19C and lows of 14C. For the rest of the week, between October 3 and October 6, the highest temperatures will range from 16-18C and the lowest will range between 10-13C.

Met Office predicts a split in conditions across the UK early in the period between Friday (October 6) and Sunday (October 15). More rain is expected in north-western areas, which could turn heavy, particularly overhigher, westwards-facing ground and strong winds are also possible. Specific detailed information has not been supplied for the Midlands, currently.

The Met Office said: “Southern areas, in contrast, are likely to remain much drier with light winds and some clear spells, which could lead to some overnight patches of mist and fog. Temperatures are likely to be above average for many, especially so in the south where some unusually warm temperatures for October are possible. These temperatures are likely to trend downward toward middle of the month, with the northwest-southeast split also slowly becoming less distinct as the weather becomes generally more changeable.”

Between October 16 and October 30, there is the potential for slightly more settled weather during the second half of October, particularly for north-western regions which have a higher likelihood than normal for some drier spells. However, south-eastern areas are likely to see more rainfall than usual for late October.

The Met Office added: “Temperatures in general are expected to remain above average, with some mild nights also likely, though it could feel chilly in any clear and settled overnight conditions, with occasional mist and fog patches and touches of ground frost possible.” For more details, visit the Met Office Birmingham website.