AI reveals exactly how many points Wolves now need to avoid Premier League relegation this season
The likes of Wolves, Ipswich and Leicester City are battling to avoid relegation to the Championship
Premier League strugglers Wolves are preparing for yet another important clash at the bottom of the table as they play host to 16th placed Everton in a difficult encounter without star forward Matheus Cunha due to suspension.
The Old Gold are currently on 22 points from 27 games, leaving them five points clear of fellow strugglers Ipswich Town and Leicester City in the battle for Premier League survival.
Vitor Pereira’s side have picked up a steady six wins from 14 matches and have kept four clean sheets in the process under the Portuguese coach which is a stark contrast to the defensive numbers during Gary O’Neil’s final 18 games in the dugout.
Overall, Wolves have kept five clean sheets this term which is the same number as the three teams in the relegation places combined. But just how many points will Wolves need to beat the drop this season? We asked AI to give us an estimate - and here is its intriguing response.
How many points will Wolves need to avoid relegation?
X’s Grok tool projects that Wolves will finish the season with around 31 points which should be enough to keep them in the league based on current form.
Here is AI’s full response: The 18th-placed team typically finishes with 33–36 points, averaging 35.8 over the past decades.
Ipswich are averaging 0.63 PPG (17 points / 27 games). If they maintain this over their final 11 games, they’d earn about 7 more points, finishing with approximately 24 points. Wolves, at 0.81 PPG would project to 31 points if they continue at that rate.
Ipswich’s current form is poor but let’s assume they improve slightly to 1 PPG over their remaining 11 games—a generous uptick. That’s 11 points, taking them to 28 points total. Historically, though, relegated teams rarely hit 1 PPG late in a season unless their form drastically changes. A more realistic ceiling might be 8–9 points giving them 25–26 points.
To stay above Ipswich, Wolves need at least 1 point more than Ipswich’s final total. If Ipswich reach 26 points, Wolves need 27 points to stay up. However, this assumes 19th and 20th don’t overtake Ipswich, which is plausible if Southampton and Leicester remain adrift.
How many points are usually enough to survive in the Premier League?
Historically speaking, the 40-point mark has always been deemed as the magic number for teams to survive in the Premier League, though in one instance West Ham (2002/03) were relegated from the top-flight despite picking up 42 points.
Overall, the 36 points is the average required amount to survive in the Premier League although that figure has been lower in recent seasons. Here is the amount that the team in 18th position has finished on in recent seasons.
- 2023/24: Luton - 26
- 2022/23: Leicester - 34
- 2021/22: Burnley - 35
- 2020/21: Fulham - 28
- 2019/20: Bournemouth - 34
- 2018/19: Cardiff - 34
- 2017/18: Swansea - 33
- 2016/17: Hull City - 34
- 2015/16: Newcastle - 37
- 2014/15: Hull City - 35