How many points could West Brom gain as Championship play-off chase reaches an exciting climax?

Carlos Corberan has eight games to take West Brom into the top six.
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Carlos Corberan knows that time is running out for West Brom to reach the playoffs before the season ends, with just eight Championship games remaining. The Baggies haven’t enjoyed a terrific run of form lately, particularly away from home - and the second-tier clock is ticking for them to make the top six.

However, their remaining games give them ample chance to get the points they need on the board, facing off against playoff rivals during the run-in. So how many points do we think West Brom will get? We looked at each of their remaining games.

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Rotherham United (A) - 04/04

West Brom’s recent record against Rotherham is superb, winning each of their last three games against the Millers. This included a resounding 3-0 win at The Hawthorns in December where the Baggies ran riot against Matt Taylor’s side.

Rotherham remain in a relegation battle and are just two points above the drop zone, so they’re sure to fight for every point as the season draws to a close. However, we can see Albion getting the win, despite their away struggles.

  • Prediction - Rotherham 0-1 West Brom
  • Points total - 59 points

QPR (H) - 10/04

The Baggies beat QPR in their first away game under Corberan, as Kyle Bartley’s powerful header proved to be the difference between the two sides. Out of their last 15 meetings with the R’s, Albion have managed eight wins.

Just like Rotherham, QPR remain in difficult circumstances despite new manager Gareth Ainsworth coming into the job earlier this year. But with Albion’s strong home form, we expect them to prevail with a win here.

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  • Prediction - West Brom 2-0 QPR
  • Points total - 62 points

Stoke City (A) - 15/04

Stoke always prove to be tricky customers, and were once labelled as the Baggies’ ‘bogey team’ during their Premier League years. Although, they did win their last game against the Potters which was in Corberan’s earlier days as Albion boss.

The Potters are also five games unbeaten under boss Alex Neil as he finally appears to have struck the right note with his side. Owing to Stoke’s recent form and their typical performances against West Brom - this one might not be so plain sailing.

Prediction - Stoke City 1-1 West Brom

Points total - 65 points

Predicted total: 68 points. Goal difference: +10. Chance of making play-off spots: 27%Predicted total: 68 points. Goal difference: +10. Chance of making play-off spots: 27%
Predicted total: 68 points. Goal difference: +10. Chance of making play-off spots: 27%

Blackpool (A) - 18/04

Despite their injury issues, Blackpool appear to be giving survival a valiant go under former Wolverhampton Wanderers boss Mick McCarthy. Yet they still sit second bottom as they look to avoid a return to League One.

The Baggies have won both of their last two games against the Seasiders, one of those coming under Corberan. In that game, they struggled to three points as Okay Yokuslu scrambled home a late winner from a corner - this one could be more comfortable though.

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  • Prediction - Blackpool 0-1 West Brom
  • Points total - 68 points

Sunderland (H) - 23/04

West Brom showed real quality when they met Sunderland back in December upon their return from the World Cup break. The Black Cats’ form has tailed since that game, where they were in the top six.

However, Tony Mowbray will look for better when he revisits The Hawthorns in a few weeks time. It could be an interesting one.

  • Prediction - West Brom 0-0 Sunderland
  • Points total - 69 points

Sheffield United (A) - 26/04

Sheffield United could have automatic promotion wrapped up by the time they host Albion towards the end of April. Add that to their FA Cup semi-final with Manchester City which will take place the previous weekend to this game, it might not be as easy to predict as initially thought.

The Blades beat Albion in their opening match under Corberan with relative ease and could do so again if the Baggies fail to rectify their away troubles. We expect them to drop points at Bramall Lane.

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  • Prediction - Sheffield United 1-0 West Brom
  • Points total - 69 points
Agent fees: £2,351,968Agent fees: £2,351,968
Agent fees: £2,351,968

Norwich City (H) - 29/04

The penultimate game of the season, and one that could be a direct shootout for a play-off place, with Norwich currently four points and a place outside the top six. Their fixtures appear of a similar difficulty to Albion’s so that may well be the case.

Their last meeting resulted in a 1-1 draw during Steve Bruce’s reign, where both sides looked fairly abject under their former managers. And we think this might be another stalemate.

  • Prediction - West Brom 1-1 Norwich City
  • Points total - 70 points

Swansea City (A) - 08/05

West Brom’s season could end in South Wales if they fail to make the top six, and they’ll face a side they’ve failed to beat in an of their last four meetings. Their last game, a dismal display under Bruce once again, ended in defeat.

However, the Swans are likely to have nothing to play for on the final day. And the Baggies will need a result to see themselves over the line.

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  • Prediction - Swansea City 1-3 West Brom
  • Points total - 73 points

Will that be enough?

On average from the past 10 Championship seasons, a team requires 74 points to make the top six. So with their total of 73, it really will be touch and go for Corberan’s side to get into the play-offs with the results we’ve predicted.

That said, they could surprise everyone and hunt down the chasing pack during these remaining games. Either way it’s a huge task with just eight games left to play.

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