Aston Villa’s Champions League battle with Tottenham Hotspur may be over after Unai Emery’s side sensationally secured qualification but that doesn’t mean the action is over elsewhere.
The fight for the title will go down to the wire as Manchester City and Arsenal take on West Ham United and Everton respectively. The Cityzens, two points ahead, are the big favourites but failing to beat the Hammers would give Arsenal a huge chance. If City don’t win and the Gunners win, the title will be going to North London.
Luton Town will be relegated unless they record the biggest win in Premier League history, so the fight for survival is basically over. The final European positions aren’t decided, though, with Chelsea able to leapfrog Tottenham, Newcastle United capable of catching Chelsea and Manchester United desperate to hop back into the top seven.
How, then, are the final matches expected to finish? Will City claim the title as expected, who will claim the last European positions and will there be any late movers mid-table? Here’s a full run-through, based on computer simulations working out average results by rounding to the nearest predicted goal per team.