Premier League clubs spent a record £2.36 billion in the 2023 summer transfer window, absolutely blitzing the previous £1.92 billion high set in 2022.
Chelsea are perhaps the side with the most to shout about as Mauricio Pochettino has overseen a major squad overhaul at Stamford Bridge.
Moisés Caicedo from Brighton & Hove Albion to the Blues was the standout transfer as he became both the biggest sale and record signing at £115 million.
Meanwhile, Declan Rice completed a huge £105 million switch from West Ham United to Arsenal and £100 million striker Harry Kane departed Tottenham Hotspur for Bayern Munich.
It wasn’t just the big money deals that have made a difference, though, as a few bargains were had, including Youri Tielemans to Aston Villa on a free and some stellar cheap business from Luton Town.
We could go on all day about every transfer completed but the main point of this article is to establish how the data expert predictions have changed as a result of the acquisitions and departures.
Based on figures collated by over 1,000 computer simulations from BetVictor, here’s where all 20 teams are expected to finish at the end of the 2023/24 Premier League season.
1. 20th: Luton Town
Average points: 28; chance of relegation: 76.9%
2. 19th: Sheffield United
Average points: 32; chance of relegation: 54.9%
3. 18th: AFC Bournemouth
Average points: 34; chance of relegation: 46.8%
4. 17th: Everton
Average points: 34; chance of relegation: 43.2%