Aston Villa chances of Champions League progress ranked after defeat amid Celtic and Liverpool wins

Aston Villa are no longer being predicted to finish in the top eight of the Champions League following their defeat to Club Brugge.

The Villains suffered a 1-0 defeat to the Belgian side at the Jan Breydel Stadium last Wednesday. Tyrone Mings was penalised for a handball and Hans Vanaken made the most of it by scoring from the spot in the 52nd minute.

The latest league table has Villa still inside the top eight, ahead of Atalanta by a point. Villa are now halfway through the league phase, and are the second best performing English club following Liverpool’s 4-0 win against Bayer Leverkusen.

Manchester City suffered a shock defeat to Sporting in what was Ruben Amorim's penultimate match before he takes up the job at their inter-city rivals Manchester United. Arsenal were also on the losing side during their travels, as they lost 1-0 to Inter Milan at the San Siro, courtesy of a Hakan Calhanoglu penalty.

Scottish Premiership champions Celtic had a good night though as they 3-1 against RB Leipzig. Nicolas Kuhn scored a first-half brace after Christoph Baumgartner had given the visitors the lead. Reo Hatate made sure of the victory and now there’s a feeling of optimism around Celtic Park.

After the latest round of results, Villa are now longer predicted to finish in the top eight, which would give them a bye. According to Foot Rankings with information provided by Piotr Klimek, they are now tipped to finish 12th, with Arsenal finishing ahead of them. They would advance to the knockout phase play-offs as a seeded team if the predictions are right.

Their position of 12th has them just behind Bayern Munich, but ahead of 15-time Champions League winners Real Madrid who are the current holders. Villa are also being tipped to finish ahead of Italian giants Juventus and perennial French title winners Paris Saint-Germain.

Aston Villa have been given a 33.1% chance of finishing in the Top Eight, a 75.6% chance of finishing in the top 26, and then a 99.4% probability of finishing at least in the top 24, which would prolong their involvement in UEFA's main club competition.

Predicted final Champions League table

xPts. XGD. Top8. Top 16. Top 24.

Liverpool - 20.01. 13.17. 94.5%. 99.6%. 99.9%

Inter - 18.18. 10.61. 83.7%. 98.2%. 99.9%

Sporting CP - 16.85. 9.16. 65.9%. 94.1%. 99.9%

Borussia Dortmund - 16.56. 10.68. 64.0%. 93.8%. 99.9%

Barcelona - 16.34. 13.06. 63.0%. 92.6%. 99.9%

Manchester City - 15.71. 12.45. 57.8%. 90.9%. 99.8%

Atalanta - 15.59. 9.26. 48.3%. 89.7%. 99.8%

Arsenal - 15.49. 7.87. 46.9%. 87.4%. 99.6%

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AC Milan - 15.50. 7.45. 45.2%. 87.1%. 99.4%

Bayer Leverkusen - 15.16. 6.26. 38.8%. 83.2%. 99.4%

Bayern Munich - 14.75. 10.88. 36.7%. 83.0%. 99.4%

Aston Villa - 14.89. 5.71. 33.1%. 75.6%. 99.4%

Stade Brestois - 14.48. 3.94. 24.4%. 70.1%. 99.6%.

AS Monaco - 14.44. 3.62. 24.1%. 70.3%. 99.5%.

Atletico Madrid - 13.52. 0.19. 11.6%. 51.1%. 95.4%

Lille - 13.16. 2.15. 11.0%. 51.7%. 95.9%

Celtic - 13.34. 1.22. 12.0%. 50.7%. 94.2%

Real Madrid - 12.83. 4.88. 10.3%. 47.5%. 96.1%

Juventus - 12.80. 2.44. 11.1%. 46.9%. 92.%

PSV - 12.25. 5.20. 7.3%. 41.6%. 91.8%

Stuttgart - 12.39. 2.45. 5.2%. 41.7%. 92.4%

Benfica - 10.78. 0.825. 2.5%. 19.1%. 75.6%

PSG - 10.17. -0.79. 1.2%. 13.5%. 66.1%

Feyenoord - 10.51. -5.36. 0.6% 9.5%. 63.4%

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Dinamo Zagreb - 9.72. -7.79. 0.5%. 5.8%. 50.0%

Club Brugge - 9.19. -6.86. 0.2%. 4.0%. 40.8%

Sparta Praha - 6.93. -7.73. 0.1%. 0.7%. 15.1%

Girona - 6.71. -7.25. 0.0%. 0.4%. 13.3%

Leipzig - 5.74. -4.91. 0.0%. 0.0%. 8.8%

Bologna - 5.37. -7.07. 0.0%. 0.0%. 8.8%.

Shakhtar Donetsk - 5.72. - 11.03. 0.0%. 0.1%. 3.9%

Salzburg - 4.66. -15.75. 0.0%. 0.0%. 1.2%

Crvena zvezda - 2.95. -17.00. 0.0%. 0.0%. 0.6%

Sturm Graz - 2.39. -11.57. 0.0%. 0.0%. 0.0%. 0.3%

Young Boys - 2.69. -15.96. 0.0%. 0.0%. 0.3%

Slovan Bratislava - 0.92. -24.40. 0.0%. 0.0%. 0.1%.