Heatwave Birmingham 2022: Met Office weather forecast as Level 2 heat alert issued - how long will it last?

Will the nice weather turn into a heatwave? Here’s what the Met Office have predicted
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Birmingham has enjoyed a long period of warm weather in recent weeks, with plenty of sunshine to accompany this.

The extended warm temperatures has led to speculation that a heatwave could be on the way to Birmingham.

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The UK Health Security Agency (UKHSA) and the Met Office have now issued a level 2 heat-health alert warning, which will be in place from Monday to Friday next week and covers the East of England, South East and London regions.

An amber warning for extreme heat is also in place from Sunday morning through to the end of Tuesday (19 July).

Here’s what we know about the Met Office forecast for the coming days and weeks, and what criteria needs to be met to qualify as a heatwave.

What is the forecast for Birmingham this week?

Will; Birmingham Town Hall be kissed in Spring sunshine this week?Will; Birmingham Town Hall be kissed in Spring sunshine this week?
Will; Birmingham Town Hall be kissed in Spring sunshine this week?

The weather forecast for the Birmingham and West Midlands region suggests that the temperature is set to remain above 25C period for the coming week.

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Here’s what the Met office say for the weather in Birmingham

Today:

It will be a rather cloudy start with a little patchy light rain or drizzle, especially in the north. However, the cloud will break into the afternoon with sunny spells developing from the north. Feeling pleasant in the sunshine. Maximum temperature 20 °C.

Tonight:

A fine evening will follow, but cloud will increase in the north overnight with a little light rain possible. Dry with clear spells in the south. Minimum temperature 8 °C.

Wednesday:

Early cloud in the north will clear through the morning with sunny spells developing for all into the afternoon. Feeling warm in light winds and sunshine. Maximum temperature 21 °C.

Outlook for Thursday to Saturday:

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A rather cloudy start on Thursday, but soon brightening up. Thereafter, remaining dry with sunny spells and temperatures increasing day on day.

What has the Met Office said about July weather?

Met Office Deputy Chief Meteorologist Rebekah Sherwin, said; “The influence of the high pressure is likely to continue across southern areas into the second week of July and at times could be more widespread.

“Temperatures are expected to be widely above average, especially across the south, with some areas seeing maxima in the high 20s, locally 30 Celsius by this weekend. Beyond that, the forecast becomes more uncertain and, while it may well continue warm, the extent, magnitude and duration of these above-average temperatures are not clear at this stage and won’t be known until closer to the time.”

What constitutes a heatwave?

According to the Met Office, a UK heatwave threshold is met when a location records a period of at least three consecutive days with daily maximum temperatures meeting or exceeding the heatwave temperature threshold. The threshold varies by UK county.

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Although some parts of England may perhaps meet these heat wave criteria it looks like this spell of warm weather will be relatively short-lived.

Milder conditions look likely to return later in the weekend with temperatures trending back to around average for June as we see cooler air push across the country from the northwest.

What is the long range weather forecast for the UK?

Below is what the Met Office has predicted for the UK weather forecast from the period of Saturday 9 to Monday 18 July.

The Met Office said: “Generally fine and dry for southern and eastern parts of the UK to start, as high pressure extends to the southwest, though some showers are still possible.

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“Cloud increases further northwest, with more showers and outbreaks of rain. Warm or very warm with light winds in the south, near-normal temperatures elsewhere, and moderate or fresh winds in the far north.

“It may become more widely settled across the UK for a time further into the period, although some northern areas are likely to continue to see spells of rain or showers at times.

“Temperatures widely above average, especially across the south, with a possibility of very warm or hot spells at times for England and Wales.”

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