Will it be a White Christmas in Birmingham for 2023? See the latest predictions for Christmas Day snow
The Christmas countdown has started. These are Birmingham's chances of seeing a White Christmas in 2023
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Every year we speculate whether this Christmas will be blanketed with snow, and for Birmingham and the rest of the UK, December is the beginning of when snow should fall across the country.
White Christmases were actually more frequent in the 18th and 19th centuries, but climate change has brought higher average temperatures over land and sea and this generally reduced the chances of a white Christmas.
Nothing makes Christmas more magical than waking up a picturesque dusting of snow on the big day. But a proper White Christmas is something we haven’t seen for over a decade now.
The last time we saw a White Christmas in Birmingham was 2010. This was when snow was widespread across the UK. The 2010 White Christmas was reported as extremely unusual. It was the coldest Christmas ever recorded in the UK. The winter caused havoc for all across Birmingham with disruption across the region, affecting everything from transport to childcare, many schools were also forced to close.
Before this disruptive winter, the UK hadn’t seen widespread snow like this since 1993. In past years, some cities might have seen snow while others did not however in 2018 and 2019 no snow was recorded at any of the UK’s weather stations.
Will it snow in Birmingham this Christmas?
The experts at OLBG have profiled the latest betting odds and statistics surrounding the chances of a White Christmas taking place in 2023 - and there’s a 14.30% chance of snow in Birmingham, so it's not looking particularly promising at this moment in time.
The team have looked at the rate of snowfall in the cities in recent years to calculate the figures. According to the odds, Edinburgh and Glasgow are the most likely UK destinations to see snow at Christmas (33.33%), with a 25% chance of snow in Leeds and 22.22% chance of snow in Belfast. There is also just a 20% chance of snow in Manchester this December with Birmingham next on the list with a 14.30% chance.
What has the Met Office said?
There isn't a weather forecast yet for Christmas Day, but the Met Office's long range weather forecast predicts the weather up to December 24 this year. The current longe range forecast reads: "After a cold spell leading up to it, the most likely trend through this period is for a return to milder, more changeable weather. Wetter and windier than average conditions are slightly more likely than normal, especially in the west and northwest. Temperatures are most likely to be near or above average overall, although this doesn't rule out some spells of cold weather and associated wintry hazards."